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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction By  .9781846147524
The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction By .9781846147524
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction by Nate Silver (Hardback, 2012)

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Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. What lies behind their success?. And why do so many predictions still fail?.