The transition of the Eastern Central European countries from centrally planned ecomies to developed market ecomies has been one of the major structural changes in Europe. It started a new stage of enlargement of the European Union. The mograph presents the results of an international research effort aimed at the analysis of macroecomic aspects of joining the European Union by the Central European countries. This analysis was based on country and world ecomy models and rests on a series of alternative scenarios of ecomic development up to the year 2010. It provides the reader with a broad historical background and a discussion of recent trends of Central Europe. It summarises the experience of the new members of the European Union. The scenario simulations show the likely path of future ecomic development for the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia, analysing the pros and contras of joining the European Union.
The Contributors: Jan Haluska, Michal Olexa, Judita Orsagowa, Wladyslaw Welfe, Istvan Czajlik, Garabed Minassian, Raymond Courbis, Ivan Sujan, Milota Sujanova, Aleksander Welfe, Waldemar Florczak, Robert Kelm, Jarko Fidrmuc, Karl Pichelmann, R. Vaittinen, Luis Delfim Santos, Carlo D'Adda, Lorena Vincenzi, Tomas Klein, Miroslav Sasinek. The Editors: Raymond Courbis is Professor of Economics at the University Paris X, Nanterre, France. He developed the major early macromodels for France at the Commissariat du Plan. He is the founder of G.A.M.A. at the University Nanterre, the leading macroeconomic modelling and forcecasting center in France. Professor Courbis is world-wide known for his expertise in macroeconometric modelling. Wladyslaw Welfe is Professor of Economics at the Institute of Econometrics and Statistics, University of Lodz, Poland. He is member - correspondent of the Polish Academy of Science. He received Dr. hc. of universities: Uppsala (1978), Lyon 2 (1997), Cracov Academy of Economics (1995). He is the founder of Lodz center for macromodelling, where under his supervision a series of annual W. models and newly quarterly WK models for Poland was built; they are systematically used in forecasting and scenario analyses.