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Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios by Evan Hillebrand, Stacy Closson (Hardcover, 2015)

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Eight varied scenarios, integrating a quantitative model and qualitative analysis, that examine the interplay of three key drivers over the next four decades. This book presents eight varied scenarios of possible global futures, emphasizing the interconnectedness of three drivers of change: energy prices, economic growth, and geopolitics. Other published global future scenarios focus on only one of these factors, viewing, for example, economic growth as unaffected by energy prices or energy prices in isolation from geopolitical conditions. In this book, Evan Hillebrand and Stacy Closson offer a new approach to scenario construction that acknowledges the codependence of these key drivers and integrates qualitative analysis with a quantitative model. The eight scenarios represent possible combinations of high or low energy prices, strong or weak economic growth, and global harmony or disharmony across three time periods: the 2010s, 2020 to 2040, and 2040 to 2050. The Regional Mercantilism scenario, for example, envisions high energy prices, weak economic growth, and global disharmony. To impose numerical consistency across scenarios, Hillebrand and Closson employ the International Futures (IFs) model developed by Barry Hughes. (Interested readers can download this interactive model to alter or build scenarios themselves.) Assessing the probability of each scenario, they conclude that increased U.S. energy supply and the sustainability of the Chinese growth miracle are the most significant drivers over the next forty years.

Product Identifiers

Publisher
MIT Press Ltd
ISBN-13
9780262028899
eBay Product ID (ePID)
212228978

Product Key Features

Author
Evan Hillebrand, Stacy Closson
Publication Name
Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Subject
Economics, Social Sciences, Politics, Business
Publication Year
2015
Type
Textbook
Number of Pages
248 Pages

Dimensions

Item Height
229mm
Item Width
152mm

Additional Product Features

Title_Author
Stacy Closson, Evan Hillebrand
Series Title
The MIT Press
Country/Region of Manufacture
United States

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Energy, Economic Growth, and Geopolitical Futures: Eight Long-Range Scenarios by Evan Hillebrand, Stacy Closson (Hardcover, 2015)

About this product

Product Information

Product Identifiers

Product Key Features

Dimensions

Additional Product Features

Best Selling in Adult Learning & University

A guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK guide) and the Standard for project management by Project Management Institute (Paperback, 2021)

The Weed Forager's Handbook: A Guide to Edible and Medicinal Weeds in Australia by Adam Grubb, Annie Raser-Rowland (2012, Paperback)

Polyvagal Exercises for Safety and Connection: 50 Client-Centered Practices by Deb Dana (Paperback, 2020)

Save on Adult Learning & University

Ford Falcon EF, EL/Fairlane NF, NL/LTD DF, DL 1994-1998 Haynes Workshop Manual

Netter Atlas of Human Anatomy: Classic Regional Approach

Michael Price Nick Vandome Windows 11 for Seniors in easy steps (Paperback)

Dr. Robert Melillo Disconnected Kids - Revised and Updated (Paperback)

The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark by Carl Sagan (English)

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