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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Paperback, 2010)

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Book Series: Incerto. Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Title: The Black Swan: Second Edition. Release Date: 11/05/2010. Further Details. Format: Paperback. Release Year: 2010. Subtitle: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility".

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The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don't know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan.

Product Identifiers

Publisher
Random House USA Inc
ISBN-10
081297381x
ISBN-13
9780812973815
eBay Product ID (ePID)
128820207

Product Key Features

Subject Area
Information Science
Author
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publication Name
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility
Format
Paperback
Language
English
Subject
Technology, Management, Careers & Success
Publication Year
2010
Type
Textbook
Number of Pages
480 Pages

Dimensions

Item Height
201mm
Item Width
130mm
Volume
2
Item Weight
340g

Additional Product Features

Title_Author
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Series Title
Incerto
Country/Region of Manufacture
United States

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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Paperback, 2010)

About this product

Product Information

Product Identifiers

Product Key Features

Dimensions

Additional Product Features

All listings for this product

item 1 Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan: Second Edition (Paperback) Incerto

item 2 The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new

item 3 Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan: Second Edition (Paperback) (US IMPORT)

item 4 NEW The Black Swan By Nassim Nicholas Taleb Paperback Free Shipping

item 5 The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a

item 6 The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a

Best Selling in Adult Learning & University

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The Weed Forager's Handbook: A Guide to Edible and Medicinal Weeds in Australia by Adam Grubb, Annie Raser-Rowland (2012, Paperback)

Permaculture: A Designer's Manual by Bill Mollison (Hardcover, 1988)

The Falsification of History: Our Distorted Reality by John Hamer (Paperback, 2013)

In-Basket Case Studies by Guy Adamson (Paperback, 1986)

Empire of the Summer Moon: Quanah Parker and the Rise and Fall of the Comanches, the Most Powerful Indian Tribe in American History by S.C. Gwynne (Paperback, 2011)

Botanical Field Guide by Stefan Mager (Fold-out book or chart, 2021)

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