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Forecasting Terrorism: Indicators and Proven Analytic Techniques [With CDROM]
by Khalsa, Sundri K. | PB | Good
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“Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, ”... Read moreabout condition
4 available / 1 sold
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Estimated between Thu, 30 May and Mon, 3 Jun to 43230
Located in: Aurora, Illinois, United States
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eBay item number:144845111998
Item specifics
- Condition
- Good
- Seller notes
- Binding
- Paperback
- Weight
- 0 lbs
- Product Group
- Book
- IsTextBook
- Yes
- ISBN
- 0810850176
- Publication Year
- 2004
- Type
- Textbook
- Format
- CD-ROM / Trade Paperback
- Language
- English
- Publication Name
- Forecasting Terrorism : Indicators and Proven Analytic Techniques
- Item Height
- 0.3in
- Item Length
- 10.1in
- Publisher
- Scarecrow Press, Incorporated
- Item Width
- 7.1in
- Item Weight
- 9.5 Oz
- Number of Pages
- 120 Pages
About this product
Product Information
Terrorist attacks happen after years of careful planning; however, these plans always leave a trail of activities--a road map to the terrorists' forthcoming actions. These indicators include terrorist travel, movement of weapons, training, target surveillance, and tests of security. This guidebook identifies 68 such indicators and shows how to analyze them using a step-by-step explanation. It also includes safeguards against 38 of the 42 common warning pitfalls that experts have identified. That analysis then yields warnings that can prevent attacks and save lives. The methodology can be applied to any intelligence topic (not just terrorism) by simply changing the list of indicators. Warning failures are rarely due to inadequate collection; they are more frequently due to intelligence that has been ignored because it is delivered with weak analysis. With this model, author Sundri Khalsa brings sophisticated analysis methodology to security forces everywhere, promising a safer world. The accompanying CD-ROM provides a website display that is the interface to this forecasting system. It also includes a 45-minute video that describes the methodology step-by-step using the website display. This methodology was characterized by the Unit Chief of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Counterterrorism Threat Monitoring Unit as "light-years ahead," while officials in the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) have identified this system as "the bedrock for the evolving approach to terrorism analysis," and an "unprecedented forecasting model." This guide will be of interest to policy makers, journalists, police authorities, and concerned citizens.
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Scarecrow Press, Incorporated
ISBN-10
0810850176
ISBN-13
9780810850170
eBay Product ID (ePID)
30976660
Product Key Features
Publication Name
Forecasting Terrorism : Indicators and Proven Analytic Techniques
Format
CD-ROM / Trade Paperback
Language
English
Publication Year
2004
Type
Textbook
Number of Pages
120 Pages
Dimensions
Item Length
10.1in
Item Height
0.3in
Item Width
7.1in
Item Weight
9.5 Oz
Additional Product Features
Lc Classification Number
Hv6431.K426 2004
Reviews
[Khalsa] argues convincingly that her approach will enhance analytical ability through automation and standardization of warning indicators...[her] efforts are reflective of the type of transformational thinking the defense department needs for immediate and long-term assessment of the terrorist threat...I predict that the US will be in good hands as long as we have innovative thinkers like Sundri Khalsa., For those interested in learning more about the intelligence-warning process, especially regarding terrorism, this book will be of particular interest....If her system is implemented, Khalsa predicts that her methodology will guard against up to 82 percent of the known common warning pitfalls, an impressive increase over the traditionally accepted 30-percent warning-accuracy rate....the United States will be in good hands as long as we have innovative thinkers like Sundri Khalsa.
Table of Content
Part 1 List of FiguresPart 2 List of TablesPart 3 PrefacePart 4 AcknowledgmentsPart 5 IntroductionChapter 6 How to Forecast Terrorism: Step-By-Step Explanation of the MethodologyChapter 7 The Acid Test: Evaluation of the Methodology against the 42 Common Warning PitfallsChapter 8 How to Make it Happen: Recommendations for ImplementationPart 9 BibliographyPart 10 IndexPart 11 About the Author
Copyright Date
2004
Target Audience
Scholarly & Professional
Topic
Terrorism, Military / Strategy, Intelligence & Espionage, Security (National & International)
Lccn
2004-015785
Dewey Decimal
363.32/01/12
Dewey Edition
22
Illustrated
Yes
Genre
History, Political Science
Item description from the seller
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eBay item number:144845111998
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