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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by
US $27.47
ApproximatelyAU $41.56
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3 available
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Located in: Fairfield, Ohio, United States
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Estimated between Wed, 3 Jul and Mon, 15 Jul to 43230
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eBay item number:364800578606
Item specifics
- Condition
- ISBN-13
- 9780735216358
- Type
- NA
- Publication Name
- NA
- ISBN
- 9780735216358
- Book Title
- Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
- Item Length
- 8.5 in
- Publisher
- Penguin Publishing Group
- Publication Year
- 2018
- Format
- Hardcover
- Language
- English
- Illustrator
- Yes
- Item Height
- 1 in
- Genre
- Education, Psychology, Business & Economics
- Topic
- Industrial Management, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Cognitive Psychology & Cognition, Strategic Planning
- Item Width
- 5.7 in
- Item Weight
- 14.3 Oz
- Number of Pages
- 288 Pages
About this product
Product Information
Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Penguin Publishing Group
ISBN-10
0735216355
ISBN-13
9780735216358
eBay Product ID (ePID)
239667252
Product Key Features
Book Title
Thinking in Bets : Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Topic
Industrial Management, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Cognitive Psychology & Cognition, Strategic Planning
Publication Year
2018
Illustrator
Yes
Genre
Education, Psychology, Business & Economics
Number of Pages
288 Pages
Dimensions
Item Length
8.5 in
Item Height
1 in
Item Width
5.7 in
Item Weight
14.3 Oz
Additional Product Features
Intended Audience
Trade
Lc Classification Number
Hd30.6.D85 2018
Reviews
"An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." -- Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting "Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it." --Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind "The insights Duke offers in this book are incredibly helpful when we contemplate decisions in the face of multiple possible outcomes, and that renders her book enormously applicable to the world of investing." - Howard Marks, co-chairman, Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing "Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk. We can all learn how to make better decisions by learning from someone who made choices for a living, with millions on the line." -- Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better "Brilliant. Buy ten copies and give one to everyone you work with. It's that good." --Seth Godin, author of The Icarus Deception "A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis." -Olivia Fox Cabane, author of The Net and the Butterfly, "An elegant fusion of poker-table street-smarts and cognitive science insights. This book will make you both a shrewder and wiser player in the game of life." -- Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting "Thinking in Bets offers a compelling, and eminently useful, new way to think about life's decisions. Annie Duke has written an important, and often hilarious, book that will help you understand your own shortcomings--and make smarter choices as a result. You can bet on it." --Maria Konnikova, author of The Confidence Game and Mastermind "The insights Duke offers in this book are incredibly helpful when we contemplate decisions in the face of multiple possible outcomes, and that renders her book enormously applicable to the world of investing." - Howard Marks, co-chairman, Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing "Through wonderful storytelling and sly wit, Annie Duke has crafted the ultimate guide to thinking about risk. We can all learn how to make better decisions by learning from someone who made choices for a living, with millions on the line." -- Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better "Brilliant. Buy ten copies and give one to everyone you work with. It's that good." --Seth Godin, author of The Icarus Deception "A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis." -Olivia Fox Cabane, author of The Net and the Butterfly "A highly-readable balance between memorable, real-world analogies and hardcore behavioral science studies... The book is packed with insights." - John Greathouse, Forbes, A mind-bending and indispensable book for entrepreneurs, leaders, and anyone who faces risk on a regular basis.
Copyright Date
2018
Lccn
2017-042666
Dewey Decimal
658.40353
Dewey Edition
23
Item description from the seller
Seller assumes all responsibility for this listing.
eBay item number:364800578606
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Fairfield, Ohio, United States
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| Postage and handling | Each additional item | To | Service | Delivery*See delivery notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free postage | Free | United States | Economy Shipping | Estimated between Wed, 3 Jul and Mon, 15 Jul to 43230 |
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| Will usually post within 10 business days of receiving cleared payment. |
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Great seller with great communication! Item arrived complete, as described and for a good price. There was a bit of an issue with tracking the order at one point (not the seller's fault), but seller was proactive in reaching out to the carrier and myself to get everything back on track. Arrived when expected.
Product ratings and reviews
Most relevant reviews
- 17 Feb, 2021
One of the best books that I've ever read in my life!
Verified purchase: YesCondition: Pre-ownedSold by: gooner4life410
- 29 Aug, 2018
Game changer
Verified purchase: YesCondition: NewSold by: dunkin_bookstore
- 28 Dec, 2021
Thinking strategically
Verified purchase: YesCondition: Pre-ownedSold by: second.sale
- 13 Feb, 2020
Great perspective
Verified purchase: YesCondition: NewSold by: devolved1
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