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Inference, Method and Decision: Towards a Bayesian Philosophy of Science by R.D.

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Item specifics

Condition
Brand new: A new, unread, unused book in perfect condition with no missing or damaged pages. See the ...
ISBN-13
9789027708175
Book Title
Inference, Method and Decision
ISBN
9789027708175
Subject Area
Science
Publication Name
Inference, Method and Decision
Item Length
9.3 in
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Subject
Philosophy & Social Aspects, History
Publication Year
1977
Series
Synthese Library
Type
Textbook
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Author
Roger D. Rosenkrantz
Item Width
6.1 in
Item Weight
44.4 Oz
Number of Pages
Xv, 270 Pages

About this product

Product Information

This book grew out of previously published papers of mine composed over a period of years; they have been reworked (sometimes beyond recognition) so as to form a reasonably coherent whole. Part One treats of informative inference. I argue (Chapter 2) that the traditional principle of induction in its clearest formulation (that laws are confirmed by their positive cases) is clearly false. Other formulations in terms of the 'uniformity of nature' or the 'resemblance of the future to the past' seem to me hopelessly unclear. From a Bayesian point of view, 'learning from experience' goes by conditionalization (Bayes' rule). The traditional stum- bling block for Bayesians has been to fmd objective probability inputs to conditionalize upon. Subjective Bayesians allow any probability inputs that do not violate the usual axioms of probability. Many subjectivists grant that this liberality seems prodigal but own themselves unable to think of additional constraints that might plausibly be imposed. To be sure, if we could agree on the correct probabilistic representation of 'ignorance' (or absence of pertinent data), then all probabilities obtained by applying Bayes' rule to an 'informationless' prior would be objective. But familiar contra- dictions, like the Bertrand paradox, are thought to vitiate all attempts to objectify 'ignorance'. BuUding on the earlier work of Sir Harold Jeffreys, E. T. Jaynes, and the more recent work ofG. E. P. Box and G. E. Tiao, I have elected to bite this bullet. In Chapter 3, I develop and defend an objectivist Bayesian approach.

Product Identifiers

Publisher
Springer Netherlands
ISBN-10
9027708177
ISBN-13
9789027708175
eBay Product ID (ePID)
4579379

Product Key Features

Author
Roger D. Rosenkrantz
Publication Name
Inference, Method and Decision
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Subject
Philosophy & Social Aspects, History
Publication Year
1977
Series
Synthese Library
Type
Textbook
Subject Area
Science
Number of Pages
Xv, 270 Pages

Dimensions

Item Length
9.3 in
Item Width
6.1 in
Item Weight
44.4 Oz

Additional Product Features

Intended Audience
Scholarly & Professional
Series Volume Number
115
Number of Volumes
1 Vol.
Lc Classification Number
Q174-175.3
Table of Content
One: Informative Inference.- 1 / Information.- 2 / The Paradoxes of Confirmation.- 3 / Inductivism and Probabilism.- 4 / Inductive Generalization.- Two: Scientific Method.- 5 / Simplicity.- 6 / Bayes and Popper.- 7 / The Copernican Revelation.- 8 / Explanation.- Three: Statistical Decision.- 9 / Support.- 10 / Testing.- 11 / Bayes/Orthodox Comparisons.- 12 / Cognitive Decisions.- Author Index.
Copyright Date
1977
Illustrated
Yes

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