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Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall by Peter Turchin (Hardcover, 2003)

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Populations grow and decline. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses.

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Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation eligious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.

Product Identifiers

Publisher
Princeton University Press
ISBN-13
9780691116693
eBay Product ID (ePID)
96824941

Product Key Features

Author
Peter Turchin
Publication Name
Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Subject
History
Publication Year
2003
Type
Textbook
Number of Pages
264 Pages

Dimensions

Item Height
235mm
Item Width
152mm
Item Weight
510g

Additional Product Features

Title_Author
Peter Turchin
Series Title
Princeton Studies in Complexity
Country/Region of Manufacture
United States

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item 1 Peter Turchin Historical Dynamics (Hardback) Princeton Studies in Complexity
AU $158.06
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item 2 Peter Turchin Historical Dynamics (Hardback) (US IMPORT)
AU $197.92
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item 3 Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall by Peter Turchin (English) Hardcov
AU $208.69
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Picture 1 of 1

Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall by Peter Turchin (Hardcover, 2003)

About this product

Product Information

Product Identifiers

Product Key Features

Dimensions

Additional Product Features

All listings for this product

item 1 Peter Turchin Historical Dynamics (Hardback) Princeton Studies in Complexity

item 2 Peter Turchin Historical Dynamics (Hardback) (US IMPORT)

item 3 Historical Dynamics: Why States Rise and Fall by Peter Turchin (English) Hardcov

Best Selling in Adult Learning & University

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Time Management by Peter Quarry (Paperback, 1986)

Aradale: The Making of a Haunted Asylum by Nathaniel Buchanan, David Waldron, Sharn Waldron (Paperback, 2020)

The Israel Lobby and US Foreign Policy by John J Mearsheimer, Stephen M Walt (Paperback, 2008)

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